Modeling the refugia of biodiversity under a changing climate is a big challenge, and needs to be accomplished in order to design effective conservation measures for threatened species.
Maybe this article of a colleage of mine helps: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/14772000.2011.588726
In the equatorial Andes plants move simply downslope.
Antoine M. Cleef
Refugia have been under discussion mostly in the lowlands since the eighties, but I do not know somebody modelling refugia. This also because of the density of sample points (for pollen diagrams) is not suffiently dense enough.
I guess this also is true for tropical Africa and Asia.
Antoine M. Cleef
Thank you Cristiano for the information. I will definitely go through your publication.
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