The assumptions of the JS model are:

1. Every individual has the same probability of being caught in the sample, whether it is marked or unmarked.

2. Every marked individual has the same probability of surviving from t to the (t +1) sample.

3. Individuals do not lose their marks, and marks are not overlooked at capture.

4. Sampling time is negligible in relation to the intervals between samples.

Capture rate is not included, so you can use the model imo :)

Assumption 1 in Andrew's list is very important and hard to prove. It is equivalent to saying that the mark has no influence on behavior.

I would add one caution: There are a number of ways to get low recapture rates.

1) I can have a large population.

2) I can have large (long distance) dispersal rates. So are you effectively trying to estimate abundance in a 1 hectare plot (low dispersal rate) versus all of the Korean peninsula (high dispersal rate)? Every night any beetle that is not in a tree will travel up to 50 km on the prevailing wind.

3) I can have high mortality. How long should the adults live relative to the interval between release and recapture?

Thank you Andrew and Timothy for assumptions and cautions, 

In mortality, this species live up to 2 months (at average 30 days) in laboratory. For this reason, my field experiment (Mark-Recapture) was conducted for 6 weeks and interval between release and recapture was 3~4 days.

My study insect, Monochamus saltuarius, may have a capacity for long distance (up to 13 km on flight mills during whole lifespan). However, many Monochamus species are generally known to fly short distance in their whole lifespan in forests, although some Monochamus beetles are more move to adjacent forests in other case studies (especially, in fragmented landscapes).

So...I think I need more field studies in various conditions...

Thanks :)

You may want to look at the work of Christopher Adams & team at MSU (e.g.  https://academic.oup.com/jee/article/2962046). This may help you estimate the population size from your data.

Hi Jong-Kook

Many References on attachment 1

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=3&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwijutm65rLWAhXCPZoKHaowBfsQFggsMAI&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov%2Fbooks%2FNBK220920%2F&usg=AFQjCNHYQwId8H_utNuwzuySfRiJBLtPcA

2

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=4&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwijutm65rLWAhXCPZoKHaowBfsQFggxMAM&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov%2Fpmc%2Farticles%2FPMC3189803%2F&usg=AFQjCNGcvckaa3D2fA6YfaSsL0fGbaH-WQ

3

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=5&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwijutm65rLWAhXCPZoKHaowBfsQFgg4MAQ&url=http%3A%2F%2Fjournals.plos.org%2Fplosone%2Farticle%3Fid%3D10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0126274&usg=AFQjCNFddCrVaID0KJn5Xhx51ePh18M_QA

4

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=6&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwijutm65rLWAhXCPZoKHaowBfsQFghCMAU&url=http%3A%2F%2Fjournals.plos.org%2Fplosone%2Farticle%2Ffile%3Fid%3D10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0102592%26type%3Dmanuscript&usg=AFQjCNE3sn-pJXjhDMLl81CGulC9VyhPTQ

5

https://www.forestry.gov.uk/pdf/PHRAMEJuly07.pdf/$file/PHRAMEJuly07.pdf

6

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=8&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwijutm65rLWAhXCPZoKHaowBfsQFghGMAc&url=http%3A%2F%2Fcordis.europa.eu%2Fresult%2Frcn%2F181737_en.html&usg=AFQjCNG8DydOxAN-YKV_CLlGhlpX2jKynw

7

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=9&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwijutm65rLWAhXCPZoKHaowBfsQFghMMAg&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.jove.com%2Fvisualize%2Fabstract%2F21656803%2Fcharacterization-beauveria-bassiana-msw1-isolated-from-pine-sawyers&usg=AFQjCNGl6maWziM88hxGv5ReH52aCPsWfw

8

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=10&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwijutm65rLWAhXCPZoKHaowBfsQFghOMAk&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.health.belgium.be%2Fsites%2Fdefault%2Ffiles%2Fuploads%2Ffields%2Ffpshealth_theme_file%2Fannex_1_-_research_topics_rt_projects.pdf&usg=AFQjCNH3l51wlD1BLVcmT_quxoSEUcV85g

9

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10

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=12&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwi4iMPU57LWAhWFFJoKHdAdA7k4ChAWCCswAQ&url=http%3A%2F%2Fciteseer.ist.psu.edu%2Fviewdoc%2Fcitations%3Bjsessionid%3D81D1CE78321E21193EC70D446E1F2B28%3Fdoi%3D10.1.1.784.4732&usg=AFQjCNGTi6tjpoCUfPBeGZsW5LoDOCMkdQ

11

https://scholarsarchive.byu.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=3648&context=etd

12

https://www.fs.fed.us/nrs/pubs/jrnl/2017/nrs_2017_haack_003.pdf

13

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=17&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwi4iMPU57LWAhWFFJoKHdAdA7k4ChAWCEEwBg&url=https%3A%2F%2Fprojects.repo.nii.ac.jp%2F%3Faction%3Drepository_uri%26item_id%3D251741%26file_id%3D21%26file_no%3D1&usg=AFQjCNGwHeEnyObpRaxGCroKOuZI-vIMvw

14

https://australianmuseum.com/uploads/journals/18061/1492_complete.pdf

15

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.2903/sp.efsa.2012.EN-385/pdf

16

https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10336-009-0394-2

17

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=22&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjL3dSH6rLWAhUCAZoKHUbzASA4FBAWCCgwAQ&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.academia.edu%2F8018911%2FEvaluating_habitat_suitability_for_the_establishment_of_Monochamus_spp._Through_climate-based_niche_modelling&usg=AFQjCNGtZ4PYOLWrtz97ktroLLAPn3uxow

18

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=24&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjL3dSH6rLWAhUCAZoKHUbzASA4FBAWCC8wAw&url=http%3A%2F%2Fjournals.fcla.edu%2Fjon%2Farticle%2Fdownload%2F67462%2F65130&usg=AFQjCNEEU-CZrQG6bsHmp-OW8HCvh1tNxg

19

https://people.ds.cam.ac.uk/cns26/NJC/Papers/Missing%20Neotropical%20birds.pdf