Scenarios are designed in support of decision-making to gain a clear comprehension of the potential impact of the decisions taken. Scenario-based simulations are essential to prepare decision-makers properly for complex and high-risk situations.

Papers:

V. A. Bañuls and M. Turoff, “Scenario construction via Delphi and cross-impact analysis,” Technological Forecasting and Social Change, vol. 78, no. 9, pp. 1579–1602, 2011.

N. S. Noori, Y. Wang, T. Comes, P. Schwarz, and H. Lukosch, “Behind the Scenes of Scenario-Based Training: Understanding Scenario Design and Requirements in High-Risk and Uncertain Environments,” in Proceedings of the 14th ISCRAM Conference, Albi, France, 2017, pp. 948–959.

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