The security environment in the region is uncertain and evolving. Though the bilateral and trilateral defense interactions are increasing, might this lead to the emergence of a new regional security alignment of regional powers? Is a regional security commitment important or is it dangerous?
The importance of the Indian Pacific region has increased. The most important actor in the region is India. Therefore, India's own policies and policies against it are important. The fact that the region is located on marine transportation and energy lines adds value to its value. An actor as important as India is Sri Lanka. This region is most important today in terms of China's policies. China's material exports and energy imports are realized through this region. Therefore, it is a vital region for China. The port contract signed with Sri Lanka for 99 years provided an advantage for China. However, a new policy has been adopted due to the US dominance in the region and China's relations with the countries in need of development. The Belt and Road Initiative led China to realize its vital policies by land. Developing Chinese economy, the strength of the Chinese Naval Forces in the region may lead to the increase of dominance. The stability of the Indian Pacific region is at least in China's interest as much as the countries of the region. This region will gain more importance in the future policies of China. India, which is the most influential actor in the region, has the best trump, the ability to control and direct developments.
I think that the matter can be analyzed according to an important trilogy, which is represented in the issue of defining security and threat, and the second is related to the power factor in all its forms, while the third factor is related to the balance of forces, and the latter has a significant impact on the process of building security alliances.
تتغير ديناميات الأمن في منطقة المحيط الهندي الهندي بسرعة. ولا تُعد المنطقة موطنًا للاقتصادات الأسرع نموًا في العالم فحسب، بل أيضًا الأسرع نمواً في الإنفاق العسكري والقدرات البحرية، وهي أشد منافس على الموارد الطبيعية وأخطر البقع الإستراتيجية الساخنة. يمكنك حتى القول إنها مفتاح الأمن العالمي.
يؤكد الاستخدام المتزايد لمصطلح "المحيط الهندي-الهادئ" - والذي يشير بدوره إلى جميع البلدان المتاخمة للمحيط الهندي والمحيط الهادئ - بدلاً من "منطقة آسيا والمحيط الهادئ"، يؤكد على الطبيعة البحرية للتوترات الحالية. لقد أصبحت محيطات آسيا على نحو متزايد ساحة للتنافس على الموارد والنفوذ. والآن، من المرجع أن الأزمات الإقليمية المستقبلية ستبدأ و / أو تستقر في البحر.
ولعل السبب الرئيس لهذا التحول هو الصين