The efficiency of trombe wall can be calculated using this equation:
efficiency = solar gain / incident solar energy
solar gain = transmitted energy - lossess
transmitted energy = Incident solar radiation x Area (glass) x SHGC
losses = losses by radiation of wall to window + conduction losses of moving air to glass
note that calculating these losses is rather complicated. They are functions of several values such as emmitance of wall surface and glass, wall surface temperature, width of air gap, area of wall facing glass panels.
There are some papers giving equations for these losses you can find in journals.