If you have idea or journal paper about sensitivity of precipitation to the deviation between simulated and observed, may i request you to shar/send ideas/link.
I am not quite sure I get the sense of your question, but let me try to provide a couple of suggestions of papers that may be of some help.
http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/17/3921/2013/
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JHM-D-12-012.1
https://www.igsoc.org/annals/49/t49A131.pdf
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/1520-0442(1993)006%3C1327%3ARVOSCA%3E2.0.CO%3B2
Regards,
Vincenzo
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