SWAT or IHACRES?
I have not worked with IHACRES, but I worked with ArcSWAT. It is a user friend model. You can calibrate your model with SWAT-CUP (sufi2). You can publish high quality articles with ArcSWAT.
For simulating runoff due to climate change, the SWAT model is generally more suitable.
IHACRES is more focused on rainfall-runoff modeling and may not be as comprehensive for climate change impact assessments at a watershed scale.
SWAT
I advice you to use SWAT model.
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