It is seen that the reports on weather forecast are less accurate with respect to time , place/location, and intensities during months of June and December. What is the reason behind this fact of nature?
Hello,
can you provide references to scientific papers that acknowledge this statement ?
Thanks
This is a practically observed fact round the year. I recollect, a storm had to come at coast of Chennai,India during month of December, it did not appear within next one week. After ten days it was seen at Puducheri,which was first forecasted to touch coastal Andhra Pradesh and with less intense as forecasted earlier. This was a case just 3/4 years back.Here place, time and intensities are changing in the forecast.
Dear Dr. Muduli,
You are right, but this only true for some areas where the weather parameters are not stable such as the area you mentioned. The days between the stability of the weather forecasts is related to stability of temperature after the summer and winter solstices ( opposite in the northern and southern hemisphere). May be the areas close to both hemispheres witness these instability in weather forecasts.
Dear Dr.Awad, you will be surprised to know that all weather related forecasts are more accurate during months of September and March(Equinox periods) of a year. These facts have a solid scientific reason, you are requested to find out these reasons with your valued team members.
Some attempts have been made to identify the characteristic weather conditions by Buchan in 1860s and by A.Schmauss, in 1938:
https://www.weatheronline.co.uk/reports/philip-eden/Singularities.htm
I wonder if you're suggesting a scheme similar to that developed by Buchan but adjusted to our new abilities in the area of numerical weather prediction? In principle, it is very difficult to find reliable references to such a classification.
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