Several months ago a highly infectious, sometimes deadly respiratory virus infected humans for the first time. The World Health Organization (WHO) has declared a pandemic, meaning that it’s spreading worldwide. The death toll is starting to rise and everyone is asking the same question: "when will the pandemic end?" (Src: the following video)
I found this video very useful to answer this question: https://youtu.be/Qi0edf_nJDo
What is your idea?
I was wondering if you have any other related materials that could be shared with the public (i.e. ordinary people)?
Dear Mr. Yoosefdoost!
Please let me argue that the answer to your question at this stage is impossible to tell as there are so many factors at play:
1) O’Driscoll, M., Dos Santos, G.R., Wang, L. et al. Age-specific mortality and immunity patterns of SARS-CoV-2. Nature (2020) Open Access, Available at:
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2918-0
2) Sarina Gleason (2020). Here's what we still don't know about a COVID-19 vaccine, according to an expert, 2 Nov. 2020, Citation: "From how it differs to a flu shot, to whether we'll need several injections and if we can scale up, Amalfitano delves into what we do know so far- and the known unknowns.The process for creating a COVID-19 vaccine may be different from other common vaccines, Andrea Amalfitano says." © 2020 World Economic Forum, Available at: https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/11/covid19-vaccine-distribution-development-scale-safety/
So I think it is best to sign up to social networks to dig deeper into new possibilities by emerging trends, technologies related to the treatment of this virus:
A forthcoming webinar: Santosh Takoor (2020). Role of IoT in Delivering Vaccines, Essential Goods, and Everything Else Today, Scheduled to take place on the 17 November 2020, Available on demand, please register for free at:
1) https://www.brighttalk.com/join/
2) https://www.brighttalk.com/webcast/679/443680
Hoping for the best case scenario still preparing for the worst.
Yours sincerely, Bulcsu Szekely,
If it is possible to develop a proper vaccine that is available all over the world then the infection will go down but I think it is not possible to stop/end the COVID-19 infection still now.
When 60% of the individuals are positive either via passive inmunization or other means
Bulcsu Szekely thanks so much for your detailed argument. It is really interesting.
Tulio Murillo 60%? But how we can find a reliable statistics? And how we can make sure if someone infected once, some sort of immunity may happen?
Dear Hermann Gruenwald , would it be possible to expand what do you mean?
Thanks
Please see the link below.
https://www.sciencealert.com/history-tells-us-the-future-of-the-coronavirus-pandemic-has-no-end-date
Also have a look at this link.
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-02278-5
I am afraid, SARS-CoV-2 will persist in the environment as other seasonal coronaviruses.
Harasit Kumar Paul I agree with you. Even if we can eradicate COVID-19 by extreme isolation, there will be no guarantee that it could not be spread with new hosts such as animals. Am I right?
Ozodbek Abduraimov
I am not sure about this since RNA viruses can easily mutate. What happens if just a simple mutation generate a new variant of COVID-19?
Mahammad Khuddush thanks so much for sharing such useful information.
Dear Arash Yoosefdoost,
Thanks for your positive attitude. Actually, i think covid 19 virus will never be finished, but this pandemic will not sustain, After vaccination I think, the pandemic will be finished.
When people change their attitude and irresponsible behaviors, at that time pandemic becomes over.
I agree with you M. D.H. Prodhan . Coronaviruses are among us for a very long time. However, I am not sure if we could ever can make an effective vaccine for RNA viruses. Maybe we have to find a new techniqe to deal wiwith it.
G.V.P. Samaranayake I agree with you that we need to modify some of current manners but do not believe COVID-19 could be controlled just by changing people behaviours.