The achievement of 1.5 degree target may ask for earlier substantial emission control and energy restructuring; extant research shows that such actions are far enough to reach this climate goal, and negative emission technologies (NETs), such as biomass energy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) and direct air capture (DAC), should be indispensible. However, NETs are just conceptual and even not in the cradle stage, which means we actually can not really rely on them to address the risk of climate change. In this context, it is of great importance to know whether the window for 1.5-degree target is still open, if without so-called NETs; and if the answer is yes, then what is the assessed probability given plenty of uncertainties on economic growth, energy development and mitigation policies.