Under the CFI/ERF Australian Govt. programs, its not very clear what will be the tentative (baseline) price of C for abatement of CO2 emissions or for sequestration of C in the near future. Any idea would be helpful.
You have asked a very good question, that is match to my profession as well.
Australia's carbon price mechanism commenced in July 2012 with a fixed carbon price of $23/tCO2-e, rising at 2.5 per cent per year until 2014–15. This is known as the fixed price period.
I heard recently of an agreement between the EU and Australia for sales of carbon credits between the two countries: the EU sells and Australia buys. In fact, in the EU there is an excessive availability of carbon credits and therefore the price is very low from € 3 to € 7. If then the price is fixed in Australia, who earns the difference between $ 25 and $ 5 (average price in the EU)?
Re the first answer by Mohammad Imran: C price @23/t was fixed under the labour government (CFI program). The recent LNP govt. changed that program to Emissions Reduction Fund and is proposing to conduct C auctions. However, I am not sure if there is any baseline price set for C auctions? Its a bit too loose...any idea on C price will be helpful in the current situation please.
@ Ting- good to know about this aspect, I was not aware of Australia buying C credits from Europe...there will be a lot of Credits available in Australia itself that will help Aus farmers. I agree that there is a lot of difference in price. But, I wonder if this trade can actually happen? -any papers/references pl.
Thanks a lot Benton. This makes it clear to understand the baseline. However, I wonder $5 or $6/t of CO2-e is a very low price and may not break-even for the landholders/pastoralists/indigenous stakeholders. Any suggestions pl.
When can we expect the first such auction? and if you can provide a rough idea what is an acceptable price from the govt. perspective? Are there any scenarios of trading with Europe for C?
Benton is right. The ERF auction is intended to be 'blind' - that is, no-one will know the results. The government has stated that its chief criterion for awarding acceptable bids is PRICE - that is, the lower the prices for winning bids, the larger the number of tonnes of abatement it can buy for its budget. It may well be that, within the additionality rules, bidders with projects which can afford to invest for very low carbon prices (sub $10/tonne, I suspect) will be the successful ones. There have been no auctions as yet. Regard, Bill (Sydney)
I guess the Government - Climate website suggests that the process will start in July 2015. But, I personally feel that it may not be a good price for the landholders who may commit to put efforts for sequestering or abating C emissions? Whether you or Benton know of any pro/cons of having 'blind' auctions and how it can impact the regional/rural communities? and if there is any minimum baseline considered for C price?
Thanks to you, Benton and others for sharing views.
I am not yet able to send you the reference because I read on line the news.
But I have prepared for you a graph with the Prices 2012-2015 of all the auctions held in EU. I am sure that this original contribution of mine will be of your interest. It has been mede in Honor of the RG.
Thanks Benton, yes I agree (with fear) that this blind auction process will help the mining industries, by large. Landholders will still struggle to earn any C income. Are we expecting auctions in July 2015?
Lawrence as Benton mentioned, there is no C baseline price. Its doubtful how it will reduce C emissions.
I wonder if C tax (after cap limit) could have been a better scheme, at least for taxing the big polluters/industries?? any thoughts? (May be C tax could be combined with ERF - applying the latter to land/other land activities but excluding mining that suits the former)