Recently, a number of different approches have been proposed to estimate the carrying capacity of SCUBA divers in MPA. However, methodologies and their analysis may give a number of results depending on the characteristics of the marine environment and the factors taken into consideration. There is some published research but still I beleive some other valuable work and points of view should be taken into consideration.
I suggest that you get in contact with some international NGOs about that. TNC and CI are involved in this kind of studies. Also the CTI network should be able to help you.
As I learned from Balicasag Island, Panglao, Bohol, central Philippines, a detailed survey on the number of dives per day was extrapolated into dives/year. The figure was presented to the Panglao Island Executive Committee, a muti-sectoral body for further deliberation.
The body approves the final figure (win-win figure to all parties) then a decision was made to limit the number of dives by pre-booking approach (all tickets printed and distributed to dive resorts). In dive sites, a strict no-ticket, no dive-policy was implemented.
For more inquiries I suggest you contact the provincial government of Bohol or the Japan Intl Cooperation Agency (JICA Expert team) based in Tagbilaran Bohol.
...Abner
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