Strategies are designed for a probable future or futures. But what is the meaning of such a future? Is it just an extension of the present time? That means an extrapolation of the present state of business, or it is a probable complex of events which correlate with the present time but through nonlinear and probabilistic phenomena. How much of these phenomena can we anticipate, design and influence? How much we can built up deliberate strategies and how much we can react with emergent ones? How can we develop and apply strategic thinking?
Some periods in future may be extrapolative while others are disruptive. We have come to an age where the future is becoming more and more disruptive.
Thanks Arun! I agree that FUTURE is not homogeneous and display different characteristics. I agree that future becomes more disruptive.
As the future is going to be disruptive, it is very difficult to anticipate, design and influence the phenomenon 'FUTURE'. We need to develop various scenario of future and develop alternative strategies for each scenario. To do proactive planning for future is going to be difficult day by day, however, we can always be 'Future Ready' with deliberate alternative strategies.
Thanks Arun!
I would appreciate if you suggest/send me some papers about disruptive future.
Dear Constantin,
There is hardly any scholarly article on disruptive future, however, there are plethora of articles on Disrutive Innovation, Disruptive Technology and Future Uncertainty. A few of them are attached..
The world is changing at a pace that it has never experienced before. Technological changes have and will continue to change the business dynamics. Future is for those who can foresee and predict those changes and adapt efficiently.
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