Hi, I want to ask.. I use rugarch parameter for estimate EGARCH(1,1) parameters..
Using optimal parameters, I got all of parameters significant at 5% level except for 'gamma1' (the magnitude effect)
The explanation :
mu : insignificant (but I still use the mu because when I dropped it off from the model, the loglikelihood becames smaller and AIC becames bigger, model without mu worse than the model with mu)
omega : constant (significant)
alpha1 : for leverage effect (significant)
beta1 : for GARCH (significant)
shape : degree of freedom for student-t (significant)
So, p-value for 'gamma1' is 0,053135 (more than 5%, insignificant), but less than 10% (significant at 10%) ..
can I still use whole model for estimate the volatility?
Thanks :)