It is excellent news about the COVID-19 vaccination programme and the vaccination trials where both humoral and cellular immune responses to challenge, after vaccination are observed. These positive responses will be required to neutralise the virus before immune escape mechanisms can be triggered from viral mutation and evolution.
Another similar single stranded positive (+ve SS) virus (HCV) has a continuous emergence of resistant strains of virus in HCV, resulting from the quasispecies that evolve, resulting in escape mutations, due to a rapid change in viral proteins. In the case of HCV, the high level of genetic diversity of the virus hampers the vaccination progress, whereas in the case of SARSCoV-2, genetic variation has also been reported where the coronavirus accumulates about two changes per month but most do not affect the behaviour of the virus, however, one SNP causes a change on the spike from aspartic acid to glycine at position 641 of the coronavirus spike and this is thought to make the virus more transmittable or more severe. G641 variant is now more prevalent than the aspartic acid version, globally. This is a genetically distinct variant but closely related to other variants within the same genotype-designated quasi species. These successful members of the quasispecies arise as a result of weak conservation of sequence and high evolutionary selection. Highly changeable quasispecies, generated as a consequence of evolutionary pressure from human immune responses, such as from antibodies, should be taken into consideration when considering candidates for the vaccine trials.
Although we do not have any evidence that immune pressure causes RNA rearrangement or mutation of the COVID-19 genome, as often occurs in other virus species or between other species, however, it is clear that these events did take place zoonotically, resulting in the SARSCoV-2 emergence after jumping between different animal species. The existence of COVID-19 and ability to infect humans is evidence of this rearrangement through the process of zoonosis with bats, pangolin and civet cats. Frequent and rapid rearrangements in other chronic viral infections, such as, HCV often render therapeutics ineffective.
I am concerned that there may be selection pressure on the virus during the vaccination process resulting in escape variants that are even more resilient and transmittable than the current SARSCoV-2. Administering the vaccine to many immunologically naïve individuals could drive many more escape variants, forced to evolve due to immune pressure but I presume that virus genetic mutation will be monitored throughout the trials. (This process slightly reminds me of the RAG gene recombinant rearrangement activation of genes in antibody and T ell receptor differentiation but an unregulated mirror image of the process in the case of the virus, both achieving a ‘’best fit’ of the antigen). Thus, the immune response of entirely healthy individuals, that receives the vaccine, could drive viral mutation inducing unknown viral escape mechanisms that may impair recognition by human immune systems. The similar SS +ve RNA virus of HCV has rapid and frequent viral mutations.
Should scientists also be cautious about viral RNA rearrangement between different viruses and tread carefully as to which individuals are vaccinated, in case they have a chronic RNA virus that could rearrange with COVID-19? We do know that +ve SS RNA viruses mutate, like HIV and HCV and some of these viruses evolve through rearrangement of the RNA.
Could it be possible that the presence of HIV or HCV virus, as indeed many other virus strains, may enable a more dangerous evolution of escape quasi-species to arise? It was reported that the exclusion of HIV patients as vaccine recipients for COVID-19 has been described as discriminatory but perhaps it should be considered as cautionary, based on basic knowledge and understanding about the behaviour of viruses and its engagement with human immune systems. Anything that may possibly influence a high mutation rate, further enabling viral persistence by evading the innate, humoral and cellular immune responses, should be avoided. Scientists have already witnessed lymphopenia in severely affected patients due to the virus attaching to ACE2 on Th1 cytotoxic cells thus affecting the cellular response in severely affected patients. HIV attaches to CD4+ T cells via the CCR5 receptor also causing lymphopenia.
Should these factors be considered or endorsed in the selection of vaccine recipient candidates in this highly uncertain phase of experimentation, with the above considerations included in the exclusion criteria for the participants?
Do any others have any of these concerns, please discuss.