There is no credible evidence that Donald Trump is arranging a planned recession; such claims are speculative and politically charged. Economic slowdowns can result from complex global factors, and orchestrating a recession would involve substantial risks and widespread economic harm that would likely outweigh any potential strategic political gain.

Chuck, Warren Buffet has made this claim, although I see this as attributing too much intelligence and planning to Trump. His actions, which have made mince meat out of Western economies, although only America will suffer badly from these, I see as perhaps done within independent decision making based on a lack of economic understanding.

Chuck, while your reasoning is short, in scope I suggest, the one continued action by Trump is to make himself and his family richer. And if the American economy suffers, he personally will not , but likely he will benefit overall. One continued factor is the riches he has so far accumulated. His economic progress replicates Putin's, whose rise was based on the acquisition of an American loan at a time of food shortages in St Petersburg when he was the deputy mayor there, 1991.

I do think that Chuck, you may give Trump too much credit for his abilities, claimed and boasted about by himself, rather than what he has done. The Day of Freedom was like a bunch of intellectual retards had got together to play kindergarten games and a shameful reflection on the current ruling hillbilly mob.

The primary source of this theory comes from Trump himself. In a January 2024 interview, he said: "When there's a crash, I hope it's going to be during this next 12 months because I don't want to be Herbert Hoover."Some of Trump's key policy proposals carry significant recessionary risks, leading analysts to believe that even if not "planned," a recession could be a consequence of his potential actions. Imo, Stanley Wilkin , it's more accurate to say that Trump has used the prospect of a recession as a political weapon and has proposed policies that could lead to one.

Stephen

I agree, Biden's group made an excellent job of the American economy and aided world prosperity through their decision making aiding the movement of trade, on which wealth was based, based on mutuality and thereby remaining competitive. Trump was covering his tracks by immediately blaming Biden if everything went wrong. The effects of the Tariffs was meant to aid the rich, the oligarchs, as it had when previously instituted. in the Gilded Age and later 1920s America. It mirrored the growth of Russian oligarchs by placing money and power in the hands of the richest.

That Trump has employed economic tactics seemingly designed to increase poverty, including his present migrancy policy directed at the wealthier blue states with the intention of impoverishing them through the removal of essential labour, has if nothing else political intentions.

Some would argue Trump was installed by Putin to get a recession. The strategy is beautifully simple, his oligarchs, together with the confederate ones in the U.S. go short, then go long until they own it all. As such the totalitarian world order is secured!

Paul, that is something to be seriously considered. I love your use of 'confederate/ which establishes the lines drawn and politics well.

I wonder how much this can be seen as a replay of north and south, with Trump the snake-oil salesman or carpet bagger from the North. The southern states were noticeably backward and obsessed with a debased Christianity pitched on money, thereby MAGA. Poorer than the north, they obsessed over guns, foreigners and hated new ideas.

Its interesting your question Stanley, because Economists most cases planning growth; recession is due to external factors and it has many domestic effects: reduce consume and increase unemployment and they are not good indicators for the politicians.

According to JP Morgan has reduced the probability of a U.S. and global recession from 60% to 40%.

Forecast to 2025 is of slowing growth US Economy(0.25% annualized rate).

Martha, the effects of trumps changes will probably hit next year but any or every recession hits the poorest in a society first thereby Latinos and black groups will be initially affected allowing right media to deny a recession.

The effects of loss of medicare and other helpful institutions will impact I suspect early next year or the middle of the year, but these changes could again be disguised by greater riches amongst the well off.

Really the appearance and effect of a recession depends on social classes as to their effect, but nevertheless unless adjusted can still seep through. You must be careful about predictions.

Thatcher, years ago, moved wealth around to protect the middle classes but although housing prices were affected this move stabilized expectations giving the appearance of growing wealth. the problems caused struck the following governments with spending amongst the poorest, which drastically declined, causing limited later growth. The stock exchange remained healthy but the lack of money again caused through economic decline amongst the poorest caused future problems. under conservative governments social mobility is effected affecting money supply.

so a bottom up recession in america with at least a decade of problems.

worse case scenario, a negative impact on expensive goods caused by the tariffs affecting the well off, which will turn into a recession.

There is less concern about recession then there once was and isn't this a consequence of Trump's actual backtracking on tariffs. Few, if any, were implemented but by not talking about them Trump has given the impression his threats were carried through.

The economic policy of a "planned recession for Trump Administration," where government intentionally induces an economic downturn to reduce trade and fiscal, is a complex and controversial one. While some economists and policymakers may argue for such a strategy as a necessary evil, Because of effects for people and the economies in the world.

I do think that people are responding to Trumpian narratives which through repetition have become normalised. In fact the economy was in fine condition under Biden but had become boring. The drama had gone. Now Trump desires to fight all the world except Russia the drama has became slightly apocalyptic.

i recently came across a Trump follower who declared that all education should be banned, perhaps returning to church teachings under MAGA. Further evidence for the destructive power of religion perhaps and a corrosive desire for ignorance.