I have thought on this question for quite a while and I'm not really sure how to best approach it.
There are many things in society and in nature whose occurrence we attribute to the phenomena probability. But all we really sees are the end-products of this phenomena, we never really observe it in itself.
Can we then say that probability is really the cause of these occurrences or can the cause be something completely different?
Or is it a misconception that probability is an actual entity? Is probability instead a social construct used to describe these occurrences without being the creator of them?