Have you ever read this article? They help to understand when exism movements like Brexit and Usexit should be expected to take power under majority rule liberal democracy thuinking
Muñoz, Lucio, 2018. True Democracy and Complacency: Linking Voting Outcome Expectations to Complacency Variability Using Qualitative Comparative Means, Boletin CEBEM-REDESMA, Año 11 No. 1, January, La Paz, Bolivia.
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/322924090_True_Democracy_and_Complacency_Linking_Voting_Outcome_Expectations_to_Complacency_Variability_Using_Qualitative_Comparative_Means
Dear Damian, your statement "I think the attached analysis on constitution-making towards establishing democracy post maoist revolution is far more 'true' democracy than what brexit turned out to be (plebs with social media)" tells me you either have not read the paper or you read it, but still did not got its essense. Brexism, like Trumpism, like Braziliasm... are exism movements that are possible within MAJORITY RULE BASED LIBERAL DEMOCRACIES under effective targeted chaos and an independent rule of law system that leads to full true majority complacency allowing the true minority view access to power....
You may find my articles on rethinking democracy with good food for thoughts related to this article:
Article Rethinking democracy 105: Stating the structure of authorita...
You may also find this related article interesting
Sustainability thoughts 133: Stating the expected step by step road from majority rule based liberal democracies to permanent authoritarianism: The case of the 2016-2020 rise and fall of Trumpism
Article Sustainability thoughts 133: Stating the expected step by st...
Damian, the article applies to majority rule liberal democracies, where you can either have a normal democratic outcome/the true majority view wins or an extreme democratic outcome/the true minority view wins.... Putinism belongs to the permanent authoritarianism model....Trumpism, orbanism, brazilanism, argentinism, italism....belong to the temporary authotarianism model.... in the US, the democratic party, the Reagan liberal party, are components of the normal liberal democracy model,,,,and in theory, we have the perfect democracy model where powers passes from one group to another under no chaos and no need for the rule of law. The expectation theory from 2018 has now been expanded in a series of article 2018-2024, such as the latest one:
Rethinking democracy 105: Stating the structure of authoritarianism and democracy-based systems in terms majority rule driven voting systems under biding present-absent effective targeted chaos and independent rule of law qualitative comparative boundary conditions
Article Rethinking democracy 105: Stating the structure of authorita...
Just sharing ideas!
Damian, all my articles have a list of operational concepts if you read the article covering the concepts being used to help readers GO BEYOND TRADITIONAL DEMOCRACY THINKING.... in the case of rule of law:
11) Independent rule of law system, the factual based system that ensures that the laws of the country are respected no matter who is in power or may come to power.
12) Non-independent rule of law system, the system that overlooks facts if needed to place or maintain or preserve a specific movement or ideology in power (PDF) Rethinking democracy 105: Stating the structure of authoritarianism and democracy-based systems in terms majority rule driven voting systems under biding present-absent effective targeted chaos and independent rule of law qualitative comparative boundary conditions. Available from: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/386345334_Rethinking_democracy_105_Stating_the_structure_of_authoritarianism_and_democracy-based_systems_in_terms_majority_rule_driven_voting_systems_under_biding_present-absent_effective_targeted_chaos_and_ind [accessed Jan 11 2025].
Damian, in 2015 I was writing about competition for power within normal liberal democracies as the temporary authoritarianism threat was not there yet as the period of effective targeted chaos had not started
Muñoz, Lucio, 2015. Moral and Practical Sustainability Gaps: Implications for the Current Liberal Development Model, Weber Sociology & Anthropology (ISSN:2449-1632), Vol. 1 (4) 2015, Article ID wsa_149, 317-320.
Article Moral and Practical Sustainability Gaps: Implications for th...
Then I saw BREXISM coming so I wrote the theory of complacency and outcome expectations to show when we should expect an extreme democratic outcome to come to exist like BREXISM, TRUMPISM....
Muñoz, Lucio, 2017. Majority Rule Based True Democracy Under Complacency Theory: Pointing Out The Structure of Normal and of Extreme Democratic Outcomes Analytically and Graphically, Boletin CEBEM-REDESMA, Año 10, No. 8, October, La Paz, Bolivia.
From 2017 to 2023 I have published extensively linking this theory to outsidown democratic outcome thinking, to amorality, to predictions, to when exism movements come and go and persist, even I advanced a formal theory of TRUMPCONOMICS that applies to the working of all exism movements and outcomes including BREXIT, USEXIT, BRAZILIANEXIT, ARGENTINEXIT....
And from 2024 I focused especifically on the series RETHINKING DEMOCRACY starting with how the liberal democracy landscape changed when BREXIT came to exist and after....using a common present-absence effective targeted chaos and a fully independent rule of law framework.... 5 papers in this series are out there now, one is being peer reviewed right now on cold war dynamics, internal and external, next one is written on PEACEFUL TRANSFER OF POWER, Whent to expect it and when not to expect it, the next article is about competition within liberal democracy between normal democratic outcomes and extreme democratic outcomes under an independent rule of law system as a comong factor and effective targeted chaos variability, and the last will be about competition between normal and extreme liberal democracies under a FULLY CAPTURE RULE OF LAW SYSTEM while the extreme democratic outcome is in power under effective targeted chaos variability to highlight in simple terms the shift from temporary authoritarianism to permanent authoritarianism and the death of normal liberal democracy....
Damian, I have found myself surprised to see how a liberal democracy landscape shift was coming since 2015, and democratic politicians, the media, and the experts on democracy could not see it coming, remember the social outcry in the UK and in the USA in 2016 when the murphy's rule came true and people suddenly protested... even in the last USA election, everybody in the USA saw it as a competition between two different normal democracy outcomes instead of as competition BETWEEN NORMAL LIBERAL DEMOCRACY AND TEMPORARY AUTHORITARIANISM. If you understood this, you would not be surprised on how exism movements should be expected to work and all Trump do or say, then make sense as it is how temporary authoritarianism is supposed to work.... and nobody is putting attention, even though is happening, to the need by temporary authoritarianism TO CAPTURE THE INDEPENDENT COURTS so then they can stay in power whether there is effective targeted chaos or not, becoming permanent authoritarianism from within.
After Brexit, it is fine academics missed it, but after trump 2016, and now trump 2024, still they are missing it,,,,putting democracy more at risk..... If trumpism manage to capture the independency of the rule of law in the next 4 years, permanent authoritarianism will arrive, and not for me, but for traditional democracy thinkers it will be still a surprise...as from inside the box you can not see it....
I will share my unpublished articles with you and you are free to ask questions of your interest and I will fit them to my theories
Have a nice day
Lucio
Damian, I usually share unpublished papers in academia first as you can not do it without affecting the actual publication statistics in researchgate.
RETHINKING DEMOCRACY 106/abstract as it is under peer review right now
Rethinking democracy 106: Stating the structure and implications of the liberal democracy cold wars from within and from outside using present-absent effective targeted chaos and independent rule of law based qualitative comparative conditions (UNPUBLISHED).
https://www.academia.edu/125314924/Rethinking_democracy_106_Stating_the_structure_and_implications_of_the_liberal_democracy_cold_wars_from_within_and_from_outside_using_present_absent_effective_targeted_chaos_and_independent_rule_of_law_based_qualitative_comparative_conditions_UNPUBLISHED_
RETHINKING DEMOCRACY 107/full paper
Rethinking democracy 107: Placing the post 2016 liberal democracy landscape under independent rule of law variability system to indicate when to expect peaceful transfer of powers and when not when parties lose elections(UNPUBLISHED
https://www.academia.edu/126028295/Rethinking_democracy_107_Placing_the_post_2016_liberal_democracy_landscape_under_independent_rule_of_law_variability_system_to_indicate_when_to_expect_peaceful_transfer_of_powers_and_when_not_when_parties_lose_elections_UNPUBLISHED)
You will notice, in academia, based in the USA, few readers/silence despite the relevance of the topic
Damian, my latest paper unpublished on RETHINKING DEMOCRACY now shared in Academia site:
Rethinking democracy 108: Democratic and non-democratic systems: How external and internal paradigm dynamics should be expected to work under changing present-absent effective targeted and independent rule of law conditions and competition for power?(UNPUBLISHED)
https://www.academia.edu/127017071/Rethinking_democracy_108_Democratic_and_non_democratic_systems_How_external_and_internal_paradigm_dynamics_should_be_expected_to_work_under_changing_present_absent_effective_targeted_and_independent_rule_of_law_conditions_and_competition_for_power_UNPUBLISHED_
You can look at it when you have time!
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