For global projection I've read IPCC report on sea level rise chapter. Now which resource or done work can help me on regional forecast? Some hazard maps are drawn too, but all of them assumed the height of water and then made hazard maps. Any help will be regarded.
Dear Shahrouz,
SLR is a very trick proposition. A better term would be relative sea level rise. There are several projections by different group of scientists who have different values. I do not have exact values for your regions. But being a Gulf region precise calculations would have to be done for your area.
Thank you very much dear Dharmendra, I just find a very good research on this matter, which is calculated relative sea level change by 2100. It's name is: "Vulnerability assessment of southern coastal areas of Iran to sea level rise evaluation of climate change impact" and published in "OCEANOLOGI" journal. Anyway thank you and hope to hear more from dear friends.
You cannot measure future relative MSL rise, only if you have a time machine, and I would like a ride if so :-)
Also, you will see we do not talk about forecast, but we work with scenarios (as in the IPCC) because making previsions about SLR is still dangerous considering the uncertainties we have. One way out is to get from IPCC and papers for your study region local information and some plausible scenarios of SLR and, based on the best coastal elevation charts, field data or satellite imagery, to built projections of those scenarios for your place. You may use simple formulas as the Pithagoras theorem or more ellaborate theories, applying the Brunn formula for unconsolidated coasts.
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