Dear RG researchers,

See link: Conference Paper GLOBAL WARMING – BETWEEN THE MYTH AND REALITY

Regards,

M.B.Gavrilov

The global decline of glaciers is well documented. However, this common trend is not apparent in the Karakoram glaciers affected by the persistent vortex flow responsible for the growth of high altitude ice; this process is often referred to as the "Karakoram anomaly". The analysis of the corresponding circulation pattern is presented in the publication: “The Karakoram/Western Tibetan vortex: seasonal and year-to-year variability” published in Climate Dynamics. The text is available at:

https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007%2Fs00382-018-4118-2.pdf

Yes, it's true. The recent decline of some glaciers is further amplified by changes in albedo due to the deposition of materials from natural and artificial sources. This process is not recognized correctly.

Yes, I agree with this opinion. However, I have noticed a unique new process that is the main cause of glacier decline. After analyzing the information available from global emission inventories, I would like to propose the hypothesis that the decline of glaciers can largely be attributed to the deposition of albedo-modifying combustion products. There is a large body of literature supporting this hypothesis. For more details, please visit the following sites:

Aerosol deposition on glaciers and resulting melting from darkening

http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1755-1307/6/1/012005/pdf

Soot climate forcing via snow and ice albedos

http://www.pnas.org/content/101/2/423

Black soot and the survival of Tibetan glaciers

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2790363/

“We find evidence that black soot aerosols deposited on Tibetan glaciers have been a significant contributing factor to observed rapid glacier retreat”

Soot and Dirt Is Melting Snow and Ice Around the World

https://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2014/06/140610-connecting-dots-dust-soot-snow-ice-climate-change-dimick/

The problem of the “glacial world’s dust-ice Achilles heel” is addressed in the study of the role of dust albedo feedbacks in the evolution of the climate system.

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674987116300305

The paper explores also the relative role of CO2 (section 6).

In my opinion, information obtained from various research centers, meteorological centers, satellites, etc., then collected and processed in Big Data database systems should help in more and more precise prediction of new, unfavorable weather phenomena, including climatic cataclysms and others. In this way, earlier and in a more planned way, crisis management systems can be organized in the situation when the predetermined flood disaster becomes real and will happen. Gradually increasing computing power of powerful computer servers managing platforms of Big Data database systems, implemented artificial intelligence, increasing number of verified historical data on the overall climate phenomena on Earth will allow in the future more precisely, more accurately determine the level of threats, risk value, predict time, place and scale adverse weather events, i.e. also cataclysms that threaten people's lives.

The topic is important so I invite you to continue the discussion.