Dear Bakshi,

Thank you for raising an interesting question.

You may find a discussion of the issue in following publications which you could load or read on RG:

1. "Regional difference of global climate change and its implications"

2. "National policies and positions on climate change: a perspective from the observed and projected regional differences of temperature and precipitation"

Regards,

Guoyu Ren

Guoyu Ren

Dear Prof. Guoyu Ren,

Thank you so much for adding your valuable appreciation and encouragement. I am delighted to learn it.

It is interesting and honor to know you pointed out this scientific knowledge (i.e, different countries probably suffer or benefit from global climate change in the future) long back (in 1993, i.e., almost 17 years ago) in your study. I am really fascinated to know that! Oxford Economists are identifying and pointing out such issues now. I wish if they could read your study as well. I think YOUR mentioned study really deserve applaud, commendation and scientific attentions.

Prof. Guoyu, I noticed that your “Regional difference of global climate change and its implications” is in Chinese language and concerned that it might be the reason reader missed its wonderful scientific content because of language problem comprehension.

Recently, when I read regarding this “hotter World Will Be Poorer and More Unequal” I realized that it should not create unwanted trouble to Paris climate agreement' accomplishment because of political benefits. For example, countries which are getting benefited by rising temperatures may not encourage immediate efforts to impede rising temperature by curbing CO2 emission, if they choose to be prejudiced. And therefore as you also stated it may head TOWARDS a roadblock or uncertainty to Paris climate agreement’s success.

I am uploading your paper here as well. Hope this discussion and your research may reach to larger audience to know more about your highly valued study, done long back.

Stay blessed!

Best wishes,

Bakshi Hardeep Vaid

Guoyu Ren

Dear Prof. Guoyu Ren,

Just wish to know, do you have an English version of your mention innovative paper “Regional difference of global climate change and its implications” which you have published in Scientia Geographica Sinica duing January 1993, a great piece of research. Because, those who may not understand Chinese Language would be delighted, and honored to have and read the valued findings. May you please upload it here or send me ? , I wish to do that here as well.

If not, then, I wish and request if you may please publish its whole English version of it for the scientific community to know about its esteemed scientific content which you have drawn almost a two decades ago. It would be a great help.

Thank you so much!

Best,

Bakshi Hardeep Vaid

Dear Bakshi,

Thank you so much for your interest in our works. It is a pity that there is no English version of the papers. You could find the English abstracts of them on my profile of GR. It is also possible to translate the contents into English using Google Translator if you would hope to read the main texts.

I appreciate your proposal to publish them in English journals. Perhaps we would rewrite a paper by using updated data and procedure, but this will not be done in near future due to the other heavy commitments.

With best wishes,

Guoyu

Dear Prof. Guoyu Ren,

Noted, and glad to learn that. Thank you so much for your generous enlightenment and blessings.

I wish you all the best for your future endeavor. Stay blessed!

Best regards,

Bakshi Hardeep Vaid

Dear Bakshi,

Follows are the main points shown in the two papers:

Hope it would be helpful.

Regards,

Guoyu Ren

Although the regional details of climate change especially extreme and rapid climate change are still unclear, what we can be sure of now is that there will be significant differences in future climate change in various regions of the world. This not only means that the emissions of greenhouse gases and aerosols are different in different regions, but also that the magnitude and direction of changes in temperature, rainfall and extreme climate events will vary from place to place. The sea level rise caused by global warming will also vary spatially due to the different nature of tectonic movements in different regions. Therefore, there are obvious regional differences in present and future climate change. This feature is of vital importance to the formulation and implementation of policies and measures to copy with climate change. Until now, however, many people have not realized the significance of this feature of climate change for the implementation of the international climate change convention.

Regional differences in climate change will lead to changes in the spatial allocation of natural resources. Some countries and regions are warming up, while other countries and regions have little temperature changes, with some even probably experiencing cooling climate; some countries and regions, such as those of northern Europe and Asian monsoon regions, will become wetter, and some countries and regions, such as those around the Mediterranean Sea, will tend to be drier. If the original cold area becomes warmer, or the original dry area becomes more humid, the local people will think that this is a good thing; on the contrary, if the warming and humidification occurs in the originally hot and humid tropical area, or humidification occurs in the originally cold and humid area, or drying trend appears in an arid or semi-arid zone, then people will undoubtedly think that this is bad news for the local area.

People in high northern countries may believe that global warming will bring opportunities for the development of their vast cold regions, while people in the Mediterranean region will worry that future desiccation will have an adverse effect on the development of their countries. Small island countries and lowland countries in Western Europe are afraid that sea level rise will cause disaster to them, but it does not matter to those inland countries like Mongolia and Ethiopia.

Of course, in most cases, the impact of climate change on a particular area is very complex, and it has both advantages and disadvantages, though majority would think that the adverse impacts will get the up hand for most regions. The size of a country’s economic strength and territory will also affect its sensitivity to climate change. But the overall or net impact for most countries and regions would not be zero. This means that some countries and regions will always benefit, while others will suffer.

The uncertainty of climate change science is the basic obstacle to formulating global countermeasures and taking concerted action at present. In addition, the combination of advantages and disadvantages caused by climate change for specific countries will inevitably become another obstacle for countries to reach a unified agreement in the future.

Guoyu Ren

Dear Prof. Guoyu Ren,

Thanks a lot for sharing a wonderful scientific material from YOUR two mentioned landmark papers which I have attached to my earlier thread of this discussion, hope you might have already noticed. And, yes, certainly, it would be a great help.

I am sure readers would be very much delighted to learn it, i.e, its paramount important corollary which you have shared it now, in terse. And, I must say, it is indeed a need of the hour to know about the ongoing and future obstacles for different countries to accord Paris agreement because of an uncertainties concomitant to climate change and its related projections.

In short- here I thought to explain the doldrums, which can arise due to such climate uncertainties. Example: As we know, every country has its own climate change advisory who generally inform political decision makers of the country on the climate change and its feasible ongoing and future impacts. Since it (future climate projection) precisely reveals disparity in the impacts on global scale: some countries and regions will be benefited, while others will suffer from climate change. Therefore, it may be certain that knowing climate change going to benefit, I guess, the decision makers of the respective country would perhaps change their mind to accord historical Paris agreement by just dispelling climate change itself. I feel this is possible! Surprisingly, this is happening in the world in the present itself. For example: political leader of some country (I am not mentioning here) are not accepting climate realities. The world should need to understand if former (their decision to dispel climate accord) is linked to the fact that their country is not been affected by climate change as per the reported projections. If yes, then it must be rectified on moral ground.

Robust pragmatic framework (not much difficult to make, I assume) is needed to keep all decision makers under one umbrella of hope and spirit to reduce the emissions. Such framework can refrain attempt to hinder the Paris deal. For example: countries which are getting favor from global warming, especially their political leaders should not attempt to take their respective country away from the Paris agreement. I hope all the countries in the world remain united forever in dealing with the climate change crisis.

With best regards,

Bakshi Hardeep Vaid

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If you may get time, please have a look at my allied question which I placed on research gate almost one year ago. Thank you!

https://www.researchgate.net/post/Are_we_truly_heading_TOWARDS_an_uncertainties_in_controlling_the_global_warming_GB_issues_and_its_impacts

Mitigation. - IPCC

www.ipcc.ch › uploads › 2018/03 › ar4_wg3_full_report-1PDFmitigation actions is required to reduce the risks of climate change. It ... The success of this report is, however, fully based on the expertise and ... in energy CO2 emissions is projected to come from non- ... GtCO2-eq/yr in 2100, see Figure SPM.4)(high agreement, ... in the building sector can be avoided with net economic

I am not sure if I understand your question correctly. Still, I do not think any economic indicator will replace political will as the main asset in international negotiations, especially one so tricky as the climate one.