I am thinking to evaluate post war development in Sri Lanka based on political economy perspective. Currently looking for a suitable methodology. Any suggestion?
hi
i want to work in modeling if you want it is my plasure to work with you
If you are looking for a systemic, quantitative based approach, you could consider system dynamics. See
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/System_dynamics
and
http://www.systemdynamics.org/
I made an excercise in my recent book (attached below) on pages 173-178. There are actually many problems when trying to address the post-war development. First, how to define the destruction caused by the war, second, how good was the situation before the war and third, how much the war has corrupted governmental and social forces.
Book Missing a Decent Living for Everyone: Success and Failure in...
It may not be easy to collect all precise data, but you could cross available data of the Marshall Plan and then colide it with UN and OECD statistics to try to measure it. In my opinion, first, you have to choose a target area to start your study.
Post war development is dependent on many hard and soft factors. Hard factors include the level of devastation before and after the conflict (civil infrastructure, solvency of geographic boundaries and national resources, population percentage killed/wounded/displaced, economic capacity lost, functioning political/civil establishment, external reconstruction aid, etc.). Soft factors include the relationships between the populace and the government (e.g. supportive or alienated), the levels and types of sectarian strife, the levels of nationalism among the population, whether the dispute conclusively settled standing conflicts, etc.).
Other factors exist, but I doubt you can work any of this into a model. I have more factors, and books to suggest if you like. Look for reconstruction of failed/fragile states. Hope this helps.
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