I am considering more in-depth analysis of impact of the Chinese SOE's Outbound FDIs in countries covered by the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).
I would like to take following assumptions:
1. "the BRI is China's all-in geopolitical means towards its end pursuit of a Pax-Sinica" (#Shirley Yu, The Belt and Road Initiative ... 2018)
2. the BRI is a crucial tool for reduction of regional economic development imbalance within China (#Jie Yu, The Belt and Road Initiatieve ... 2018),
3. the BRI is a key to connect China's diverse regional programmes,
4. the BRI is a new initiative, although contains projects initiated before its announcement in Sep 2013 (SOEs' corporate strategies and investment plans initiated and executed since 2005),
5. the BRI's region projects are "mainly" executed through Chinese SOEs,
6. available investment data from the China Global Investment Trucker provides the value of Chinese Outbound FDIs of SOEs,
7. available contract data from the China Global Investment Trucker provides the value of executed by SOEs contracts.
Basing on the above I would like to verify execution of investment plans of the Chinese SOE's (from the period 2005 - 2017) and compare their engagement with key performance indicators
in order to verify following hypothesis:
A. The FDIs performed by Chinese SOEs in BRIs countries were effective and resulted in more tight business relations.
B. The received contracts by Chinese SOEs in BRIs countries were profitable and caused increase of sales volume of Chinese SOEs in said countries.
C. The macroeconomic indicators confirm the causality and positive correlation between Chinese Outbound FDI in BRI countries and increase of international trade between China and BRI's countries.
Without input data I would not be able to verify the above hypothesis, therefore I would appreciate any suggestions concerning the topic request.
Kind regards,
Karol