To answer this question it is necessary to establish criteria for evaluation and precisely define key determinants and concepts. The answer to the question of when AI technology will surpass human intelligence and IQ level is determined, for example, by the following issues such as defining what human intelligence is, what role human emotional intelligence plays in it, human emotions, human consciousness, the ability to think abstractly, how conscious thought processes work, etc. If these issues were ignored during the comparative analyses carried out to answer the question formulated above, the answer can already be formulated. If only the issues of ability to process large amounts of data and information, ability to multi-criteria and intelligent data analysis, creative and innovative task solving, etc., are considered in the comparative analysis. then already quantum computers equipped with appropriately advanced language models trained with deep learning technology and multi-layered artificial neural networks on large amounts of data and information, built intelligent equipped with generative artificial intelligence technology chatbots carrying out discussions with millions of Internet users, constantly updating their knowledge libraries Big Data Analytics, etc. already today or about to be, such solutions of advanced digital tools outperform or will outperform data processing capabilities compared to the human brain. Therefore, the estimated specific IQ level of intelligent processing of large data sets, innovative task solving, efficiency of finding answers to difficult questions is already the use of advanced digital solutions based on generative artificial intelligence technology surpasses analogous human abilities. However, when one takes into account in this comparative analysis such issues as defining what human intelligence is, what role human emotional intelligence, human emotions, human consciousness, the ability to think abstractly, how conscious thought processes work, etc., then unfortunately, for now, human intelligence is still superior to artificial intelligence. But it cannot be ruled out that in a few years, on the basis of rapidly developing generative artificial intelligence technology and steadily increasing data processing capabilities with the help of ever more perfect microprocessors, the spread of quantum computer technology, etc. a strong, general artificial intelligence will be built, which can achieve the ability to self-develop, self-improve, process much larger volumes of data and information in real time than currently available on the Internet, and if it also acquires the ability to function independently of humans, then it is possible that artificial intelligence will surpass human intelligence in this expanded view as well. However, the key problem is that many of the fundamental concepts for this comparative analysis are still not fully explored and defined. Such is the case, for example, with human consciousness and its role in conscious thought processes and human decision-making. It remains to be seen whether ever in the future the development of artificial intelligence technology will lead to a kind of singularity that is digital artificial consciousness. If this were to happen it could be a serious threat to humanity.

The key issues of opportunities and threats to the development of artificial intelligence technologies are described in my article below:

OPPORTUNITIES AND THREATS TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE APPLICATIONS AND THE NEED FOR NORMATIVE REGULATION OF THIS DEVELOPMENT

Article OPPORTUNITIES AND THREATS TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF ARTIFICIAL I...

I invite you to join me in scientific cooperation on this issue,

Warm greetings,

Dariusz Prokopowicz

The above text is entirely my own work written by me on the basis of my research.

In writing this text I did not use other sources or automatic text generation systems.

Copyright by Dariusz Prokopowicz

Dear Abraham Paul ,

In 1998, Moravec predicted human-level AI by 2040, and intelligence far beyond human by 2050. Four polls of AI researchers, conducted in 2012 and 2013 by Nick Bostrom and Vincent C. Müller, suggested a confidence of 50% that human-level AI would be developed by 2040–2050.

https://www.brookings.edu/articles/how-close-are-we-to-ai-that-surpasses-human-intelligence/

Regards,

Shafagat

It never will. Artificial intelligence is "artificial" and not necessarily intelligent.

See:

https://www.imrpress.com/journal/JIN/23/5/10.31083/j.jin2305104/htm

Intelligence as nothing to do with AI that is (at its best) a very powerful data analysis tool..see for example:

Preprint Alice in Wonderland: Simple Tasks Showing Complete Reasoning...

Thus the question has no real meaning, we know already the automatic computation is much more powerful and fast than manual, but we do not call principal cimponent analysis or linear discriminant analysis as 'intelligent'. We must pay a lot of attention on these shifts of meaning that are very dangerous for human culture (not only scientific culture).

The answer depends on the AI and IQ properties that are compared (and if are measurable).