Dear Chitrini,

I think that you should carefully differentiate two types of scenarios:

1. Exploratory scenarios (what could happen?)

2. Normative scenarios (what is your desired future?)

As far as I understand, you have developed 4 exploratory scenarios and you have one plan, which could be seen as a normative scenarios. Comparing both products can obviously be useful, but please keep in mind that the master plan has been developed by someone with some kind of exploratory scenario (probably a Business As Usual) in mind. As such, you are comparing apples and pears. An explanation of the method that I have used can be found in:

Kok, K., van Vliet, Bärlund, I., M., Dubel, A., Sendzimir, J. 2011. Combining participative backcasting and explorative scenario development: Experiences from the SCENES project. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 78(5): 835-851.

I hope this is helpful!

Kasper

Thank you Kasper and Akessandro. I have noted both of your suggestions. Also, I think it is to be noted that the scenario optimization should be analogous to the purpose of the modelling. Hence keeping all these in mind, I have tried to design my scenario optimization accordingly. Thanks again for your help.