Yes, I recently heard that the Scandinavian countries have taken good steps. A clear future is waiting for this area.
The last survey revealed 73 percent of American adults would be too wary to ride in a fully autonomous vehicle. That number actually rose 10 percent over the previous year. So, why not..
In automotive, UBER and Google have already tested a good test scenario for L5. BMW and many other OEMs are targeting by 2022.
But due to safety, infrastructure and technological challenges still achieving L5 is doubtful.
Expecting some meaningful reply. Pls don't reply like Ahlam Ahmed Hussein
Yes, I recently heard that the Scandinavian countries have taken good steps. A clear future is waiting for this area.
Too many known unknowns for a rollout of L5 by 2020 (2020 is only 8 months away). My answer is No Chance with 100% certainty
Enda McManemy , Karl Sipfle , Mohammadreza Bachari-Lafteh and Vitalina Babenko ,
People on road, Traffic, infrastructure and weather conditions based many more test scenarios required for robust solutions: For a case, current sensors identify a plastic bag flying across the roads as an object as an threat and stop the vehicles, in this case AI should have all possible scenarios based predictive model. Therefore better Sensors, Perceptive Artificial Intelligence and Safe decision making are some of the must have features to roll-out Autonomous vehicles. Irrespective of many many challenges, it seems possible by 2022 in global collaborative development environment.
L5 not 2022 either. This tech is much further behind that than advertised. A concern is deployment before it is safe enough.
The main barrier to reach L5 is definitely not technology related. Technology is available and being tested out. The main issue is going to be Liability and legal.
Hi Harikesh, I'm an expert in this area. That is absolutely false. The problem will be technology far enough along to be *safe*, which it is not.
Granted, there are simpler, different ways in principle to accomplish the same goal in a relatively short time in a more controlled environment, but the mixed mode, AI approach in use is not ready and won't be shortly.
Dear Karl Sipfle : do you think technological challenges wrt security is the only concern? or there are other factors as well?
Dear Harikesh Nair : Since L5 is based on shared ecosystem, therefore liability and legal terms are considerably a genuine concerns but it can be solved if technologies available are robust enough. Yes technologies are there but not robust enough.
Dear jai, Even before considering people hacking in, the tech isnt yet safe enough.
Dear Jai and Karl,
I would continue to bet that technologies will be available...yes some of the Car companies are being overly optimistic about release dates etc..but it is given that at least in some "Continents" L5 technologically will be a reality. Some part of the battle between legality and technology is like the chicken and egg analogy. Car companies would be much less incentivised/ motivated to mass produce a true self-driving car if there is nowhere they can legally drive, or if the legal liability they bear would be considered too risky....well experts said the same thing about PC's a long time back :)
Not sure what is the circumstance world wide, but at least in most parts of China, i don't think that will be possible in the next 30 years. Too complex the real traffic conditions and too many cars. If all cars are connected via a network, that will help a lot, but even the cars are connected, there are pedestrains, animals, and other things that are off the network, and yet may cause uncertainties for cars.
Even L4 working right is not imminent let alone L5 and L4 is much easier.
Karl Sipfle , Shangning Wang , Harikesh Nair :
BMW is not a small organization..a global organization, having goodwill in market... How can they commit publicly to launch L5 enabled car by 2022 if even L4 is not reality? Keeping this as an evidence, i can agree with Harikesh.
But as Karl and Wang highlighted some concerns, i guess this is reality... how can we anticipate whether its reality or strategically targeting something else.
I have worked with BMW.
The immediate target in some companies is personal wealth of leaders that comes before the product is shipped.
Beyond that the goal is autonomous cars in order to make money off all the marketing data and advertising and services they open up.
Dear Jai Deo Tiwari , Karl Sipfle , Shangning Wang , Harikesh Nair , Enda McManemy , Ahlam Ahmed Hussein , Vitalina Babenko , A. El Kebir , Mohammadreza Bachari-Lafteh
Autonomous Vehicle or Automated Vehicle? Which definition is correct as You think?
https://www.researchgate.net/post/Autonomous_Vehicle_or_Automated_Vehicle
Dear Jai Deo,
I don't think that will be possible in the next 5-10 years. It needs a lot of Artificial Intelligent and control technology improvement to do before launching on the market floor. No commercial production of a level 5 vehicle exists, but companies such as Zoox, Google’s Waymo, and many others are working towards this goal.
It’s no surprise that a world with level 5 autonomous vehicles will impact humanity and society in many ways -- some we can image and some we can only currently dream about. One change is the look and design of cars would have to optimized for human delivery. There would be no need for certain car parts such as a joystick, a steering wheel, pedals which opens up retail space within the car’s interior. Driver’s license would no longer be needed. Children and elderly could safely get themselves places, and busy workers could use their commute in a car to catch up on emails on their way to the office.
Just like with all transformational technologies, certain jobs and businesses will be transformed, changed, or possibly made extinct. Just like traditional retailers falling to the wayside in the face of e-commerce, or video rental establishments dying in favor of online streaming, companies that are based on humans driving vehicles need to transform and change to stay relevant. For example, with self driving cars the concept of the rental car as we currently know it will change. Local gas stations will no longer need to service the thousands of cars they currently do.
At the ultimate level of autonomy, Level 5 vehicles are completely self-driving and autonomous. The driver does not have to be in control at all during travel, and this vehicle can handle any road condition, type of weather, and no longer bound to geo-fenced locations. A level 5 vehicle will also have emergency features, and safety protocols. A level 5 vehicle is true autonomy and will be able to safely deliver someone to point A to point B.
AI systems continue to evolve and become even more advanced; society will start to see fully autonomous systems operating on our streets.
Hope it help you out.
Ashish
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