28 November 2017 4 3K Report

Hi, I am studying causality between two stationary variables (both stationary at level). the data is annually (27 years).

Therefore, I want to perform Panel Granger Causality method (Dumitrescu and Hurlin 2012). I have some ambiguous issues:

  • What is the proper way for lag selection? Could I run var model by Eviews, then select lag structure ....> lag selection criteria, and select proper lag based on report????
  • Which criteria is more preferable to select lags? AIC or BIC(SC) (I appreciate if have reference)
  • Can I use STATA command: xtgcause Y X, lags(BIC), to test causality and select the lag automatically??
  • Some researchers say that if yo are using annually data (macro); the role of thumb is to select 2 years lags (2 lags). Is it accurate?? (I appreciate if have reference)
  • Thank you in advance.

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