How do you choose between two doctors ... first made 100 surgeries and failed with 10 ... the second made 10 and failed with only 1?

08 August 2015 1 9K Report

If we treat the problem mathematically, then 10/100 = 1/10 but if we want to make a decision related to life, what would we choose?

Nicolangelo Iannella

I would look at track record and experience ... the first has had 90 successes and the latter has only 9. The big question is whether doctor with 9 success can maintain this success rate (1 failure for every 10) or improve it. I guess one should really calculate the chance of success of the next surgery given past successes and failures.

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