Climate change is being combatted. With scientific and technological development the green house effect, deforestation, flooding and can be reduced. There is an attempt to use big data to solve the problem.
Organic agriculture is certainly worthy of consideration to secure food production despite the challenges of climate change. Evidence from a variety of studies (The one from the Rodale Institute in Pennsylvania came quickly to my mind as an example), indicate that yields of organically managed fields are comparable to those of conventional farms. If you add the benefits of not using synthetic chemicals that also pose serious risks to soil, water, air animal and public health in rural area, I think it is legitimate to be enthused by the growing interest in organic agriculture worldwide (43.5 mill. Ha. in cultivation as we speak). In addition to this, for millions of poor farmers in the developing world there may not be other opportunities to grow food and these small farmers remain the backbone of food security in their countries. There is no more land we can convert into agricultural fields and this will be the challenge of the future of food production in the world: improving, or maintaining steady crop yields while employing the ecological services that are restored with organic farming practices. The "detoxification" path which is required of conventional farms however is a challenging, yet much needed conversion that should be facilitated by the governments of all countries through policies and subsidies, in order to regain the lost balance between agriculture and sustainable use of natural resources to achieve food production. Finally, minimizing food waste while enhancing food access through a more equitable distribution of the same, will do the rest to establish ecologically based farming practices that will amplify the global benefits of organic farming systems.
Yes, organic agriculture will continue to be relevant for both climate change adaptation and mitigation in the future. There are already some scientific studies in this area.These include:
- Scialabba and Müller-Lindenlauf (2010). Organic agriculture and climate change. Renewable Agriculture and Food System, 25(2): 158-169
- Khanal (2009). Climate Change and Organic Agriculture.Journal of Agriculture and Environment, 10:116-127
- Altieri and Nicholls (2017). The adaptation and mitigation potential of traditional agriculture in a changing climate. Climate Change, 140(1): 33-45
Meanwhile, we will still have to face the reality of food security for the increasing human population in the future. To meet our food and energy requirements, we might need a readjustment to the productivity of resources used in organic agriculture in the future.