Is it possible to derive a generalized theory that links interannual CAPE variability, CIN thresholds, and boundary-layer turbulence in CMIP6 climate projections with observed thunderstorm frequency over the Indo-Gangetic Plain?
I think, this could be the possible answer. A generalized principle can actually be proposed to connect the CAPE variability, CIN threshold, and boundary-layer turbulence with a frequency of thunder on the Indo-Gangetic ground. CAPE represents the possible energy available for convection, and its variability controls the intensity of the updraft that starts directly. CIN acts as a regulation barrier, where some thresholds either suppress convection or allow explosive release once away. Boundary-layer disturbance controls moisture and heat flow, affecting both cape buildup and CIN erosion. In CMIP6 estimates, these interactions can be checked to understand the future convection environment under warming scenarios. Thus, integrating these parameters into an integrated structure can give deep insight into thunderstorms and severity in this climate sensitive area.