Bangladesh is over populated with more than 160 million people and population density is so high. We have nearly 70,000 cases and deaths less than 1000 so far. We can detect 2500 to 2800 cases every day on an average by performing 12000 to 15000 tests by using real time RT-PCR. Lockdown was declared several times but it was not maintained properly and our behavioral culture of hand washing and using mask are not in favor too.
When will be the peak here and what are the indicators are needed to estimate for it?
https://towardsdatascience.com/calculating-live-covid-19-cases-from-deaths-e70e5df45f60
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2020/05/200529150605.htm
Article Propagation analysis and prediction of the COVID-19
Preprint MATHEMATICAL PREDICTIONS FOR COVID-19 AS A GLOBAL PANDEMIC
You can go through the attached links.
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.19.20071415v1.full.pdf
https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/searo/bangladesh/covid-19-who-bangladesh-situation-reports/who-ban-covid-19-sitrep-06.pdf?sfvrsn=36254da0_6
No prediction, no rule is applicable for Bangladesh. Muhammed Ashraful Alam