50 year return flood frequency performed by using various statistical analysis methods is shown in the figure attached. Please tell me which one to select and why? The data corresponds to the Flood discharge 

Maximum yearly flood discharge from 1948-2009 is taken from the The Sardar Sarovar Dam which is a gravity dam on the Narmada river near Navagam, Gujarat in India.

Source of Data: http://www.sardarsarovardam.org/document/maximum-observed-floods.pdf

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