In many climate studies the reference period was 1961-1990 and the first predicted 30-year period was 1991-2020. Since there are now the observations for the period 1991-2020 I was wandering if there are already some validations of climate predictions with the observed values, to see what climate trend was realized?
How about this.
Hausfather, Z., H.F. Drake, T. Abbott, and G.A. Schmidt, 2020: Evaluating the performance of past climate model projections. Geophys. Res. Lett., 47, 1, e2019GL085378, doi:10.1029/2019GL085378.
(In this study it been found that climate models published over the past five decades were skillful in predicting subsequent GMST changes, with most models examined showing warming consistent with observations.)
Until 2010, there were no successes in climate forecasting using mathematical models. This is according to the results of the climate congress in Ukraine (Kyiv) in 2010.
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