What is the likelihood of another pandemic in the future as estimated by the predictive analyses carried out, based on computerised, multi-faceted, big data mathematical modelling?
To what extent does climate change, progressive global warming, climate change across continents, increased environmental pollution and the impact of toxic waste pollution on human health, etc. increase the likelihood of another pandemic in the future as estimated by the predictive analyses carried out, based on computerised, multi-faceted, big data mathematical modelling?
On 4 May 2023, the World Health Organisation lifted the state of global epidemiological emergency associated with Covid-19. The WHO declared that Covid-19 no longer posed a public health, human health threat on a global scale. The WHO introduced the state on 30 January 2020, and after more than three years, the state was lifted. But the key point is that it was lifted as an epidemiological risk 'only' on a global scale and not as a direct recommendation for individual countries. Well, in individual countries, the levels of infection and mortality, although significantly lower than in 2020, are still occurring as part of local, successive, seasonal increases in infection with specific types of relentlessly emerging successive virus strains, and are significantly different in terms of the comparative analyses carried out. Globally, almost 7 million people have died according to Covid-19 death statistics and in more than 90 per cent of cases in combination with the presence of various co-morbidities. In Poland, these deaths were 120 000 with 5.5 million diagnosed infections and more than 250 000 excess deaths. In Poland, the Covid-19 epidemiological emergency is due to be lifted at the end of June 2023. In relation to this, is there still research being conducted by the WHO on the secondary effects of the Covid-19 pandemic? The 2018 Spanish flu was an avian flu that passed to humans. This was not the only such case in which a virus that causes disease in specific animal species started to infect and cause specific diseases in humans as well. It may have been similar with the SARS-CoV-2 (Covid-19) coronavirus, because before it started infecting humans it had previously developed in certain bat species, among others. It is likely that this virus acquired new features after the modification of its genome applied in laboratories, its effect was enhanced, it escaped from the laboratory and also started infecting humans. According to mathematical models of forecasting, which take into account population growth, increased population density in urban areas, low levels of sanitation in many parts of the world, low levels of availability of clean water in many economically poorer countries, the rate of creation of new strains of influenza viruses, coronaviruses, RSV, etc., which attack humans and certain animal species, the progressive process of global warming, climate change on different continents, increased environmental pollution and the impact of toxic waste pollution on human health, etc., it is likely that the virus will become more widespread in the future.
In view of the above, I address the following question to the esteemed community of scientists and researchers:
To what extent does climate change, the progressive process of global warming, climate change across continents, the increase in environmental pollution and the impact of toxic waste pollution on human health, etc., increase the probability of the appearance of another pandemic in the future as estimated by the predictive analyses carried out based on computerised, multifaceted, data-intensive mathematical modelling?
What is the likelihood of another future pandemic estimated from ongoing predictive analytical work based on computerised multi-faceted mathematical modelling with big data?
What is the likelihood of another pandemic occurring in the future?
What do you think about this topic?
What is your opinion on this subject?
Please respond,
I invite you all to discuss,
Thank you very much,
Best wishes,
Dariusz Prokopowicz
The occurrence of a pandemic depends on various factors, including the emergence and spread of new infectious diseases, human behavior, public health measures, and advancements in healthcare. While it is impossible to assign a precise probability to another pandemic, it is widely recognized that pandemics are a recurring part of human history.
With nature being exploited, global warming, threat of bioterrorism, Such Pandemics is not far from reality, one health approach is the solution. the article is attached
Pandemics do not come with a prior warning. There is no need to worry, I guess. We need to think healthy and eat healthy. 'Correlation does not imply causation'. We can correlate to a certain level, but there is always a chance of error. I hope we can tackle with any pandemics. We are not weak. Survival is our innate skill since ages, I don't think these pandemics can stop our progress or existence. Thank you
https://globalhealth.duke.edu/news/statistics-say-large-pandemics-are-more-likely-we-thought
I believe that With this state of weather and becoming warmer we have k tsunami of cancer until to 2030
Possibility? Reality, another one in less than 10 years.
2003 SARS CiV 1, then MERS, then Zika, Nipsh, West Nile, etc.
There is always a possibility of another pandemic, but we can take steps to reduce the likelihood and severity of future outbreaks by investing in public health infrastructure and being better prepared to respond to outbreaks when they occur.
Its the preparation and simulation of the event with a probability of occurrence.