I am working in research on climate adaptation so need to compare the performance of the urban fabric to the climate changes, which requires me to make a comparison and simulation of the performance of the urban fabric in different time periods such as the past, the present and the future, so I need to find predicted climate data for the future climate for an area, how do I get it and how can I change it to eps climate file to input and use for the DesignBuilder software!
You can read this articles to get your answer Article Critical Analysis of Software Tools Aimed at Generating Futu...
I just learned about this that might be helpful....
Climate Interactive https://www.climateinteractive.org/
MIT Sloan of Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA.
C-Roads and EN-Roads climate change simulators and other additional resources.
They are free and work on any PC or laptop and also in any browser.
You have several options! Which one you use will depend on what you need or want your weather to represent. At global scales, climate projections are created with General Circulation Models (GCMs). Different groups have created different models with varying (to some degree) underlying assumptions on how to estimate physical processes in the atmosphere. The CMIP projects collect/organize simulation experiments using these models:
https://pcmdi.llnl.gov/mips/cmip5/
One big issue with these global models is that due to how computationally expensive they are, their level of spatial detail is most often not appropriate for urban-scale studies. There are three ways that scientists go around this:
Article Statistical Downscaling Using Localized Constructed Analogs (LOCA)*
Article High‐resolution projections of extreme heat in New York City
Article Hyper-local, efficient extreme heat projection and analysis ...
Luis E. Ortiz said everything.
I used WRF for my study about the influence of my city's urban characteristics on the development of a thunderstorm with 1km horizontal resolution. Also, if I'm not mistaken, CMIP data is already prepared for WRF use, so I think it can be a nice solution for your problem.
And don't forget to characterize as well as possible the urban area of your city, because at least for mine, the MODIS default was very bad.
Juarez Oliveira Thanks!
And you're right. Some folks have gone through the trouble of pre-processing data for use in WRF. If that's of interest, the US National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) did it for some simulations of their CESM global model:
https://rda.ucar.edu/datasets/ds316.1/index.html#!description
Dear Md. Rezaul Karim,
Thank you very much for your help. The publication you sent it makes sense, and the article seems a reliable source.
Although the article fully discusses what I am looking for, it does not provide the tools I should use. However, I will search more in detail to know how to convert and build future climate files.
At least, the method can be found.
Thanks again
Thank you very much, Dr. Miguel A. Zavala
The tools you recommend seem easy to use, and it helps a lot.
Greetings,
Alabsi Akram
Dear Dr. Luis E. Ortiz
Thanks for your deep and comprehensive answer. I may need to use simple tools at this stage; however, I benefited from your answer a lot; it opened my many inquiries.
Thank you again
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