Colonial seabirds in the arctic often feed in the marginal ice zone when breeding. Retracting sea ice might change their feeding strategies if going for feeding in the marginal sea ice zone becomes to time- and energy consuming.
Yes, I think it is a good starting point. Because the central place is fixed point that birds must return during breeding, you can then measure variability in foraging behaviour in relation to breeding performance. But also take in consideration factors that may confound these patterns: changes in foraging strategies such alternating short and long trips, differences in population age structure if available and compare biological variables at the same temporal scale to environmental variables. Google scholar these terms + seabirds to access a rich literature...