try to use Minitab, SPSS, or EViews package software to get coefficient or ARIMA parameter, then you can use them on Excel with your best fitt ARIMA model on timeseries data
Simply use the formula for arima model (including autoregrerssive part and moving average part) where you have to input a past inflow for the correlation and two previous inflows to represent the trend (increasing or decreasing flow from one period to the next). Good luck, Ricardo