Forecasting with SARIMA model

What is your perception on using visual analysis or quantitative approaches to evaluate data from single-case research designs (n of 1 trials)?

Results of single-case research designs (i.e., n-of-1 trials) are often evaluated by visually inspecting the time-series graph and computing quantitative indices. A question our research team is...

03 March 2021 687 1 View

How to address this issue in the analysis of Real-Time PCR results?

To dear Researchers, I was analyzing a series of concentration for estimation of Real-Time PCR efficiency. The concentration was 1:10. I used MS-excel to evaluate Slope. The result of slope was -8...

01 March 2021 8,683 4 View

What are possible instrumental variables for business dynamics (firm entry/exit)?

Dear All, For my paper, I use business dynamics (firm entry/exit rates) as an independent variable in the econometric part. Due to endogeneity I follow a 2SLS approach, for which I need a...

28 February 2021 5,322 3 View

How to compare 2 samples recruited with different sampling methods?

If I want to compare characteristics of 2 groups of patients, one group is recruited from a random sample of the general public while another group is from a sample with a fixed gender (male to...

26 February 2021 3,526 3 View

How to make a time series imputation benchmark ?

Hello ! In a work, I have to benchmark different algorithms to fill in missing values in time series. I insist on the fact that this is imputation and not forecasting. In my case, I have access...

24 February 2021 7,470 7 View

How to interpolate from a time-series database ?

Hi, I am having trouble with a problem, in the field of Optimal Control and the generation of optimal time-series. Let's consider a system, whose dynamics are represented by dx/dt =...

24 February 2021 9,105 2 View

Can we recognize signs of the "volatility clustering" property of a time series in its time domain plot?

My purpose is to recognize the volatility clustering property without statistical tests such as The Lagrange Multiplier (LM) test.

24 February 2021 4,150 3 View

How can I obtain time series data by country on night-time light (brightness) ?

Hi everyone, Please, how can I obtain time series data by country on night-time light (brightness) ? I've tried, but so far all I can find are maps. I am looking for numerical data, especially in...

24 February 2021 8,625 4 View

I have a time series data of some biochemical studies ( DNA and Chromosomal damage) which I intend to use to further predict into future ?

I have a time series data of some biochemical studies ( DNA and Chromosomal damage) which I intend to use to further predict into future without necessarily conducting the assay for an extended...

23 February 2021 7,842 1 View

How to estimate 2SLS with different instruments for different endogenous variables?

To be specific, I want to conduct an IV regression in stata with the following three equations. EQ1: Y1 ~Y2 Y3 X EQ2: Y2 ~ Z1 EQ3: Y3 ~ Z2 Both Y2 and Y3 are endogenous. However, Z1 and Z2 are...

23 February 2021 6,266 3 View

Sri Rosmardiyah

the analysis of residual is okay, the residual follows normal distribution and they are white noise. and the best model sarima that i've got SARIMA(2,1,3)(0,1,3) with s=3. can i do the forecasting then mister?

thank you for your reply

thank you Mr. Balazs,

if I may ask, do you ever read the references that talk about this before? if you do, can you let me know, because i read the book from Makridakis, they don't talk about this in their book

thank you for your help Mr. Balazs

i really appreciate it