Dear colleagues,
I have a dataset of T=35 and N=26, which is strongly balanced. Theory suggests to apply dynamic panel data models (DPD). According to Nickel (1981), consistent regression coefficients such as those resulting from System GMM, difference GMM or the Anderson–Hsiao estimator, should lie within the coefficients stemming from OLS (upper bound; upward bias) and from fixed effects estimators (lower bound; downward bias). Now, my problem is that OLS and FE produces very similar but insignificant estimates (fixed effects are still jointly significant). System GMM results are mostly significant but quite far from (above) the OLS estimates.
1. Would you consider the System GMM estimates problematic?
2. What might trigger the similarity of OLS and FE estimates?
Thank you in advance for your contributions.
Nickell S (1981) Biases in dynamic models with fixed effects. Econometrica 49(6):1417–1426