How would this happen? I will appreciate to know the interaction between climate change and dependence on ntfps.
NTFP collection can decrease greatly if rainfall fails, especially in a multi-year drought. So climate change can increase uncertainity in the availability of NTFP. Adaptive strategies for NTFP based economy would include diversification of the economy, protection of watersheds and forests to reduce the impact of droughts and floods on tree growth, noting other sources for the same raw material (like shellac, honey, herbs) so that the cottage industry does not shut down, etc. One has to remember that climate change means (1) an increase in annual average temperature and (2) increase in UNCERTAINITY in precipitation - the onset of rains, the distribution of rainfall over the season, more extreme events. Both these can combine to affect tree gfowth and reproduction as well as pests.
. Yes. However, it is individual incomes of sellors at the end of the value chains that significantly improve. When information regarding the value of a NTFP in cities, out of the local collection areas (increasing use and price) do not reach these local areas, locals remain poor and even poorer since diminushing collected quantities should be shared among an increasing number of collectors. At the same time ecosystems / NTFPs populations are not elastic (Ref. Tictin). I have a good example on Bush mangoes' kernel in Togo and Ghana common forest. Actually, this is an important research question!
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