Informations about the scientific aspects of strategic prospective / foresight methods
Dear Edson
Thank you for your question. the straight answer to your question is yes but the answer highly depends on your problem statement and your attempt to make it clear and academic.
It might be helpful if you take a look at this book generally and make your problem a little tangible:
- Costanzo, Laura Anna, and Robert Bradley MacKay, eds. Handbook of research on strategy and foresight. Edward Elgar Publishing, 2008.
In addition, There are a huge amount of researches which focus on the development of foresight scientific tools and methodologies which could apply in academic research.
the following book might be helpful in this regard:
- Georghiou, Luke, ed. The handbook of technology foresight: concepts and practice. Edward Elgar Publishing, 2008.
also, this paper:
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/228678576_How_are_foresight_methods_selected_Foresight_106_62-89?ev=prf_high
Moreover, Dr. Maree Conwey will definitely help you to clarify the issue (she is very active in Researchgate and might receive her answer too soon), but for brief reference, you could take a look at one of her papers entitled "An Overview of Foresight Methodologies":
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/237143833_An_Overview_of_Foresight_Methodologies?ev=srch_pub
Furthermore, There are national and international attempts have documented in Iknow project and might be helpful:
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/273330396_iKnow_National_Studies?ev=prf_high
As to your field of research in Gas and oil, you might be interested in Shell initiatives in Foresight by looking at:
- Cornelius, Peter, Alexander Van de Putte, and Mattia Romani. "Three decades of scenario planning in the shell." California management review 48.1 (2005): 92-109.
Hence, All these applied attempts need to precise academic and scientific approach and endeavors to improve and develop new ideas and different futures alternatives.
Best Wishes and Good luck,
Ardeshir
Article How are foresight methods selected? Foresight, 10(6), 62-89
Article An Overview of Foresight Methodologies
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