Here the amount of donation is not important just to predict the likelihood of a donor donating to a different fund which is different than fund A & B.

Basically there are about 100+ different funds, say

fund x1, fund x2,....fund A,... fund B,... fund x100.

Suppose a donor has donated to funds A & B, which task is more suitable to output the likelihoods of a donor donating to fund x1, x2...x100 and select the most likely fund?

(Note funds A & B may or may not be in sequence)

I have thought about these approaches:

1. Association Rules

2. Computing Item-Similarity Matrix & calculate the likelihoods

3. Item-Item collaborative filtering

4. Any suggestions please?

Association Rules doesn't seem to be useful to calculate the likelihood for a particular donor. It gives the likelihood for all donors and not a particular donor. Same with computing Item-Similarity matrix.

Item-Item collaborative filtering gives the rating for a particular fund and not the actual likelihood of a donor donating to a fund.

Any suggestions on which approach I could use to solve this task?

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